Tag Archive: nuclear deal

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The Two Irans

The dynamics of the Iranian state make for an intriguing case study.  Informed observers maintain that two strong internal forces are pursuing irreconcilable political objectives.  On the one hand there is the reformist camp, concerned about the people’s welfare and willing to engage with the outside world.  On the other, there is the “deep state”, led by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, supported by the powerful IRGC (Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps), dedicated to upholding and strengthening the Islamic Revolution.  It is the deep state that has complete dominance over the country’s political affairs, and can exercise its will in defiance…
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Rouhani’s Bitter-Sweet Triumph

The 20th of May 2017 was a red letter day for Middle East politics.  Not only was Iran’s president, Hassan Rouhani, re-elected by a substantial majority to a second term of office, but it was the day that US President Trump, on the opening leg of his first foreign tour, landed in Saudi Arabia to a right royal reception and, within hours, was signing a multi-billion dollar deal with his hosts. 

Präsident Rohani und der Regierungschef Erdogan verfolgen eine pragmatische Politik (Bild: Keystone / AP)

Iranian Role Trumps Turkish Model in the Middle East?

Since 2003, Turkey has appeared as a valuable asset for global powers to invest in and as a leading actor in a region long described as sluggish towards democratic transformations. However, with the advent of the Arab Spring, things changed and the role portrayed for Turkey by the United States has been declining, especially in light of the rise of another regional power: Iran. Inter alia, of the various elements that weakened the Turkish model was Iran’s mounting leverage in the Middle East and the Arab Spring, which delivered a blow to Turkey’s achievements as Iran was moving slowly but steadily…
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